# Probability

From Noisebridge

Revision as of 23:07, 23 November 2010 by SpammerHellDontDelete (Talk | contribs)

## Contents |

### Mailing List

**http://groups.google.com/group/noisebridge-probability**

### Next Meeting

- Quick review of 1st half of ch 2 (discrete random variables). 1 example problem. Finish presentation of chapter 2 (continuous random variables). Another example problem. (will post the example problems over the weekend so people can try them).
- When: Tuesday (11/30) 7:30 to 8:45pm
- Where: Noisebridge (2169 Mission St.) - back corner classroom

### List of Problems

List of Problems (on Google Docs) - anyone who has this link can edit/add problems.

These are problems that 1 or more people thought were interesting enough to try solving.

Each problem should include:

- the problem (or pointer to the problem)
- names of people who've worked through the problem
- (optional) what concepts are required for the solution (eg. conditional independence, continuous random variables, etc.)

### General

A probability study group was proposed on the noisebridge-discuss list and cc'ed to the Machine Learning mailing list.

The goal is to go through the 7 chapters of Fundamentals of Applied Probability Theory.

Proposed meeting format:

- 30 min - a volunteer presents the material in the chapter (this will be for people who didn't have time to read the chapter at home, and for those who want to teach)
- 30-45 min - discussion and problem solving (those who solved the problems at home can compare answers, those who didn't can work on the problems together)

### Resources

- MIT OCW - 6.041 / 6.431 Probabilistic Systems Analysis and Applied Probability - the text book(s) we're using are from this course.
- Fundamentals of Applied Probability Theory by Al Drake (pdf) - written in 1967 and used for several decades to teach the above course. From the preface: "This is a first textbook in applied probability theory, assuming a background of one year of calculus."
- Introduction to Probability by Bertsekas and Tsitsiklis - this is the book written and used by the current professors - it appears to be identical in terms of the layout and the topics covered.
- Fifty Challenging Problems by Frederick Mosteller (~ 15 of the problems are viewable in amazon's preview). Monte-carlo simulations of these: Josh Myer's blog

### Past Meetings

- 11/16/2010 - chapter 2. Recommended problems 2.04, 2.07, 2.11, 2.17, 2.26, 2.27, 2.28, 2.30 (slides)
- 11/09/2010 - chapter 1. Recommended problems 1.03, 1.08, 1.09, 1.12, 1.13, 1.21, 1.24, 1.30 (slides)

### Statistical Computing

### Teaching Volunteers

- Kai
- Mike S
- Ben W
- Sara N

### Misc

**Conditional Risk** (from http://xkcd.com/795/ )